Stephen Miller · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31
Stephen Miller is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 15 inside KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Stephen Miller officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Stephen Miller
Rank
#10 of 15
Leader
Nicolás Maduro 73¢
Range
1¢-73¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-SMIL
Jun 24, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$66K
Family rank
#10 of 15
15 outcomes · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Stephen Miller officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-SMIL
Event family
KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Nicolás Maduro 73¢
Current share
0%
Nicolás Maduro
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-NMAD
Delcy Rodríguez
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-DROD
Edmundo González
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-EGON
María Corina Machado
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-MCM
Donald Trump
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-DJT
Jorge Rodríguez
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-JROD
Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-MRUB
Vladimir Padrino López
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-VLOP
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-DRON
Stephen Miller
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-SMIL
Dan Caine
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-DCAI
Juan Guaidó
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-JGUA
Miguel Rodríguez Torres
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-MRT
Pete Hegseth
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-PHEG
Richard Grenell
kalshi · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-RGRE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.