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KalshiDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

This contract is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

28¢
$984K volume
$213K liquidity
27424% of event volume

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

María Corina Machado 15¢

Ticker

KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-DROD

Market snapshot

Delcy Rodríguez in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $545. In the KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Delcy Rodríguez

Family rank

#2 of 13

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

28¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$545

Family context

13 outcomes · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31

Quote range

1¢-63¢

Family leader

Nicolás Maduro 63¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-DROD. Family volume: $4K.

Price history

28¢ current

43¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 28¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
27¢502
26¢61
25¢12
21¢19
20¢208
AskSize
28¢558
29¢34
33¢67
34¢40
35¢40

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Delcy Rodríguez officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-DROD

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

417.4%

IY (No)

57.1%

Adj IY

417%

CRI

3

RV

480%

VR

2.18

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

417.4%
57.1%
Adj IY
417%
3
RV
480%
VR
2.18
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
0.2%

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