Will Lewis Hall be in the England World Cup final squad?
Prediction markets currently give a 75% probability that Will Lewis Hall be in the England World Cup final squad?. This contract trades at 75¢ on Kalshi, closing June 18, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24h volume and $0 open interest, making it essentially non-functional despite the extreme 259.6% implied yield on the Yes side—a red flag suggesting the 0¢ price reflects illiquidity rather than genuine market conviction.
Analysis
This market shows zero liquidity with no 24h volume and $0 open interest, making it essentially non-functional despite the extreme 259.6% implied yield on the Yes side—a red flag suggesting the 0¢ price reflects illiquidity rather than genuine market conviction. The 10¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the price, and with 60 days to the June 2026 World Cup, there's sufficient time for meaningful price discovery if liquidity materializes. The neutral regime and low Cliff Risk Index (2) suggest stable conditions, but traders should be cautious: this appears to be a dead market waiting for either genuine interest or resolution.
Resolution rules
If Lewis Hall is selected for the final squad for the England national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-LHAL yes 100