Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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14¢
Bid/Ask 13/16¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $161.82·OI $2,178.325·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining
0x51c5e348aef1652d6ad226364563b281f441c516dbc851ebfca20ed74f7e590d
7-day price557 snapshots · 8 regime
23¢14¢ current
Apr 814¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 882.9%
IY (No) 23.4%
Adj IY 347%
CRI 6
Overround -0.6%
LAS 0.21
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)882.9%
IY (No)23.4%
Adj IY347%
CRI6
Overround-0.6%
LAS0.21

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:53:42 AM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x51c5e348aef1652d6ad226364563b281f441c516dbc851ebfca20ed74f7e590d yes 100

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