SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 26, 2026231 days left

Will Post Malone have a top 10 song this year?

This contract is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 78¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 13¢ spread.

Implied probability

78¢
$63 volume
$23 liquidity
122% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$52

Best sibling

Gracie Abrams 50¢

Ticker

KX10SONG-26-POS

Market snapshot

Post Malone in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Post Malone have a top 10 song this year?. The displayed quote is 78¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $63. In the KX10SONG-26 family, this outcome ranks #3 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Post Malone

Family rank

#3 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

78¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 26, 2026

Reported volume

$63

Family context

16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KX10SONG-26-POS. Family volume: $52.

Price history

78¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026Apr 23, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

78 / 91¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
100¢450
78¢200
23¢200
22¢469
4¢1.0K
AskSize
91¢200
96¢32
97¢50
98¢600
99¢1.2K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Post Malone has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KX10SONG-26-POS

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

44.5%

IY (No)

559.2%

Adj IY

233%

CRI

4

Overround

15.6%

LAS

0.17

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

44.5%
559.2%
Adj IY
233%
4
Overround
15.6%
LAS
0.17

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