What is the current probability for "Will SoFaygo be featured on Travis Scott's next album?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 21¢ (21% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027. 255 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will SoFaygo be featured on Travis Scott's next album?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 573.2% and 35.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will SoFaygo be featured on Travis Scott's next album?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will SoFaygo be featured on Travis Scott's next album?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 21% probability that Will SoFaygo be featured on Travis Scott's next album?. This contract trades at 21¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 21¢ price potentially unreliable.

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21¢

Bid/Ask 20/29¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Jan 1, 2027·255d remaining

KXFEATURETRAVISSCOTT-27-SOF

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 21¢ price potentially unreliable. The 562.4% implied yield on the Yes side is unusually high and likely reflects the thin liquidity rather than genuine market conviction, while the 9¢ spread is substantial relative to the price. With 260 days to resolution and a moderate cliff risk index of 4, this appears to be a speculative niche market where any actual trading could move the price significantly.

Resolution rules

If SoFaygo is featured on Travis Scott's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 573.2%

IY (No) 35.8%

Adj IY 158%

CRI 4

Overround 3.3%

LAS 0.45

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	573.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	35.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	158%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	3.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.45	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

9¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 10:09:04 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 10:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXFEATURETRAVISSCOTT-27-SOF yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →