Tesla Inc. report above 390000 total deliveries in Q2 2026
above 390000 is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside Will Tesla Inc. report above.
Price history
81¢ current
+17¢Contract brief
If Tesla Inc. reports above 390000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
above 390000
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Above 310000 95¢
Range
25¢-95¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-390000.0
May 28, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
75¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
9¢
24h volume
$86
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Tesla Inc. report above
Closes
Aug 21, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
75 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tesla Inc. reports above 390000 total deliveries in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 21, 2026
Identifier
KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-390000.0
Event family
Will Tesla Inc. report above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 310000 95¢
Current share
2%
Above 310000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-310000.0
above 320000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-320000.0
Above 330000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-330000.0
Above 350000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-350000.0
Above 340000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-340000.0
Above 360000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-360000.0
Above 370000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-370000.0
above 380000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-380000.0
above 390000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-390000.0
above 400000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-400000.0
Above 410000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-410000.0
above 420000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-420000.0
above 430000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-430000.0
Above 440000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-440000.0
Above 450000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-450000.0
Above 460000
kalshi · KXTSLA-26JULDELIV-460000.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.