Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%?
This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
10
Family volume
$3K
Best sibling
Ken Paxton, 5-10% 17¢
Ticker
KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-JCOR-P7
Price history
5¢ current
+4¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 5% and 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 26, 2027
Identifier
KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-JCOR-P7
Event family
Will the margin of victory.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
John Cornyn, 0-5% 28¢
Current share
6%
John Cornyn, 5-10%
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-JCOR-P7
Ken Paxton, 5-10%
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-KPAX-P7
Ken Paxton, 15-20%
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-KPAX-P17
Ken Paxton, 0-5%
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-KPAX-P2
Ken Paxton, 10-15%
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-KPAX-P12
Ken Paxton, 20%+
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-KPAX-P60
John Cornyn, 0-5%
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-JCOR-P2
John Cornyn, 10-15%
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-JCOR-P12
John Cornyn, 15-20%
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-JCOR-P17
John Cornyn, 20%+
kalshi · KXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV-26MAY26-JCOR-P60
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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