Will the number of White House Press Briefings in Apr 2026 be at least 7?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will the number of White House Press Briefings in Apr 2026 be at least 7?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing May 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $3 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 8¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $3 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 8¢ price potentially unreliable. The absurdly high implied yield of 25,443% on the Yes side reflects the microscopic position size rather than genuine market conviction, and the 10 Cliff Risk Index suggests resolution uncertainty despite the straightforward criteria. With 15 days to expiry and the price having risen from 6¢ to 9¢ over seven days, this appears to be a thinly-traded contract where any small position can create outsized price swings.
Resolution rules
If the White House holds at least 7 press briefings in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXPRESSBRIEFINGCOUNT-26APR-A7 yes 100