Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in April 2026?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$9K
Best sibling
Above 3.6% 64¢
Ticker
KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.8
Price history
8¢ current
+6¢Orderbook snapshot
7 / 8¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.8% in the twelve months ending April 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 12, 2026
Identifier
KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.8
Event family
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 2.3% 99¢
Current share
8%
Above 3.8%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.8
Above 3.6%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.6
Above 4.0%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T4.0
Above 3.7%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.7
Above 4.1%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T4.1
Above 3.9%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.9
Above 3.5%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.5
Above 3.4%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.4
Above 3.3%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.3
Above 2.3%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.3
Above 2.4%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.4
Above 2.5%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.5
Above 2.6%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.6
Above 2.7%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.7
Above 2.8%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.8
Above 2.9%
kalshi · KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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