SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027543 days left

Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be at least 125 million?

This contract is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

28¢
$19K volume
$6K liquidity
487% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

95 to 99.99 million 1¢

Ticker

KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-ABOVE125

Market snapshot

125 million and above in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be at least 125 million?. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $33. In the Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout family, this outcome ranks #1 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

125 million and above

Family rank

#1 of 9

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

28¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

24h volume

$33

Family context

9 outcomes · Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout

Quote range

1¢-27¢

Family leader

125 million and above 27¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-ABOVE125. Family volume: $4K.

Price history

28¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 28¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
27¢663
26¢250
25¢500
23¢1.0K
15¢2
AskSize
28¢2.7K
30¢500
34¢159
36¢101
95¢5.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-ABOVE125

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.625

Full indicator table

181.6%
24.8%
Adj IY
87%
3
12.000
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.04

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