SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027543 days left

Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 100 and 104.99 million?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$3K volume
$3K liquidity
84% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

95 to 99.99 million 1¢

Ticker

KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-100

Market snapshot

100 to 104.99 million in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 100 and 104.99 million?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. In the Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout family, this outcome ranks #6 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

100 to 104.99 million

Family rank

#6 of 9

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

24h volume

$1K

Family context

9 outcomes · Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout

Quote range

1¢-27¢

Family leader

125 million and above 27¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-100. Family volume: $4K.

Price history

4¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 4¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢550
3¢3.3K
3¢200
2¢500
2¢3.0K
AskSize
4¢2.0K
4¢250
5¢500
5¢1.0K
7¢17

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 100,000,000 and 104,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-100

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2172.3%

IY (No)

2.1%

Adj IY

724%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2172.3%
2.1%
Adj IY
724%
32
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.33

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