SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027543 days left

Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 105 and 109.99 million?

This contract is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

9¢
$177 volume
$171 liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

95 to 99.99 million 1¢

Ticker

KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-105

Market snapshot

105 to 109.99 million in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 105 and 109.99 million?. The displayed quote is 9¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $177. In the Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout family, this outcome ranks #5 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

105 to 109.99 million

Family rank

#5 of 9

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

Reported volume

$177

Family context

9 outcomes · Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout

Quote range

1¢-27¢

Family leader

125 million and above 27¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-105. Family volume: $4K.

Price history

9¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 10¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
7¢8
7¢250
7¢200
6¢500
6¢2.5K
AskSize
10¢2.1K
10¢921
11¢250
12¢500
30¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 105,000,000 and 109,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-105

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

892.5%

IY (No)

5.1%

Adj IY

255%

CRI

13

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.43

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

892.5%
5.1%
Adj IY
255%
13
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.43

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