Total 2026 U.S. House turnout between 105 and 109.99 million
105 to 109.99 million is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 9 inside Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout.
Price history
7¢ current
Contract brief
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 105,000,000 and 109,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
105 to 109.99 million
Rank
#5 of 9
Leader
125 million and above 26¢
Range
1¢-26¢
Family volume
$290
Identifier
KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-105
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$313
Family rank
#5 of 9
9 outcomes · Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$290
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 105,000,000 and 109,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-105
Event family
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$290
Outcomes
9
Highest price
125 million and above 26¢
Current share
0%
125 million and above
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-ABOVE125
115 to 119.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-115
120 to 124.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-120
110 to 114.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-110
105 to 109.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-105
100 to 104.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-100
95 to 99.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-95
Less than 90 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-BELOW90
90 to 94.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-90
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.