Total 2026 U.S. House turnout less than 90 million
Less than 90 million is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 9 inside Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Less than 90 million
Rank
#7 of 9
Leader
125 million and above 26¢
Range
1¢-26¢
Family volume
$290
Identifier
KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-BELOW90
Jun 24, 2026, 11:18 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$8K
Family rank
#7 of 9
9 outcomes · Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$290
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-BELOW90
Event family
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$290
Outcomes
9
Highest price
125 million and above 26¢
Current share
0%
125 million and above
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-ABOVE125
115 to 119.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-115
120 to 124.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-120
110 to 114.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-110
105 to 109.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-105
100 to 104.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-100
95 to 99.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-95
Less than 90 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-BELOW90
90 to 94.99 million
kalshi · KXHOUSETURNOUT-26NOV03-90
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 2% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.