Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 20, 2026 to Apr 26, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 89% probability that Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 20, 2026 to Apr 26, 2026?. This contract trades at 89¢ on Kalshi, closing April 28, 2026.
████████████████████████████████████░░░░
89¢Bid/Ask 82/87¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $12,399.3·OI $22,850.64·Closes Apr 28, 2026·0d remaining
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T40
7-day price223 snapshots · 110 regime
93¢82¢ current
Apr 215¢Apr 28
Resolution rules
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Apr 20, 2026 to Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (7)▼ Full indicator table (7)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 56963% |
| CRI | 5 |
| RV | 799% |
| VR | 0.17 |
| IAR | 2.7/h |
| Overround | 1.8% |
| LAS | 0.01 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/28/2026, 11:25:32 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 11:23:53 AM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26APR26-T40 yes 100