Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026?
This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
13
Family volume
$26K
Best sibling
Above 60 6¢
Ticker
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T50
Price history
18¢ current
+15¢Orderbook snapshot
17 / 18¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 5, 2026
Identifier
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T50
Event family
Will there be more than.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$26K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Above 30 91¢
Current share
30%
Above 50
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T50
Above 60
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T60
Above 40
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T40
Above 30
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T30
Above 70
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T70
Above 100
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T100
Above 90
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T90
Above 80
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T80
Above 120
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T120
Above 140
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T140
Above 160
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T160
Above 180
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T180
Above 200
kalshi · KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY03-T200
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Will Powell say Softening at his Apr 2026 press conference
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?: 0-10
Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to normal shipping?
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?: 20+
Will there be more than 120 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 20, 2026 to Apr 26, 2026
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 18% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.