SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence in before 2027?

This contract is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

59¢
$353K volume
$158K liquidity
1655% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$21K

Best sibling

Kash Patel 69¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TGAB

Price history

59¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

59 / 60¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
59¢84
58¢1.5K
57¢2.0K
56¢1.2K
55¢9
AskSize
60¢27
61¢123
62¢123
63¢1.2K
64¢2.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Tulsi Gabbard leaves as Director of National Intelligence before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TGAB

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

104.4%

IY (No)

216.2%

Adj IY

106%

CRI

1

Overround

8.4%

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.455

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

104.4%
216.2%
Adj IY
106%
1
Overround
8.4%
LAS
0.02

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