SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Karoline Leavitt leaves White House Press Secretary in before 2027?

This contract is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

41¢
$256K volume
$116K liquidity
863% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$30K

Best sibling

Kash Patel 69¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLEA

Price history

41¢ current

12¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

41 / 43¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
41¢7
40¢152
39¢201
38¢221
37¢601
AskSize
43¢97
44¢326
45¢850
47¢1.1K
50¢71

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Karoline Leavitt leaves as White House Press Secretary before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLEA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

216.1%

IY (No)

104.4%

Adj IY

103%

CRI

1

Overround

8.4%

LAS

0.05

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

216.1%
104.4%
Adj IY
103%
1
Overround
8.4%
LAS
0.05

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