Linda McMahon · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31
Linda McMahon is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.
Price history
30¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Linda McMahon leaves as Secretary of Education before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Linda McMahon
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
Tulsi Gabbard 99¢
Range
18¢-99¢
Family volume
$22K
Identifier
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LMCM
May 24, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$151
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$22K
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Linda McMahon leaves as Secretary of Education before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LMCM
Event family
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tulsi Gabbard 99¢
Current share
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TGAB
Kash Patel
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT
Todd Blanche
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TBLA
Howard Lutnick
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-HLUT
Lee Zeldin
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LZEL
Susie Wiles
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIL
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RFK
Pete Hegseth
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-PHEG
Karoline Leavitt
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLEA
Sean Duffy
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SDUF
Linda McMahon
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LMCM
Stephen Miller
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SMIL
Scott Bessent
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SBES
Steve Witkoff
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIT
Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MRUB
John Ratcliffe
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JRAT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.