Mike Huckabee · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31
Mike Huckabee is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.
Price history
23¢ current
Contract brief
If Mike Huckabee leaves as Ambassador to Israel before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mike Huckabee
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Tulsi Gabbard 99¢
Range
17¢-99¢
Family volume
$30K
Identifier
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MHUC
Jun 17, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$295
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$30K
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Mike Huckabee leaves as Ambassador to Israel before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MHUC
Event family
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$30K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tulsi Gabbard 99¢
Current share
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TGAB
Todd Blanche
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TBLA
Kash Patel
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RFK
Amy Gleason
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-AGLE
Howard Lutnick
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-HLUT
Susie Wiles
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIL
Pete Hegseth
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-PHEG
Steven Cheung
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26JUN-SCHE
John Ratcliffe
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JRAT
Karoline Leavitt
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLEA
Lee Zeldin
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LZEL
Chris Wright
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-CWRI
Linda McMahon
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LMCM
Mike Huckabee
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MHUC
Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MRUB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.