What is the current probability for "Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 47¢ (47% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027. 243 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 156.3% and 144.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

47¢

$24K volume

$7K liquidity

80% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$30K

Best sibling

Kash Patel 69¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LZEL

Price history

47¢ current

−3¢

Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 53¢

Kalshi

4¢ spread

BidSize

49¢5

48¢44

47¢427

46¢22

45¢250

AskSize

53¢2

54¢46

55¢160

56¢250

59¢5

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Lee Zeldin leaves as EPA Administrator before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LZEL

Event family

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$30K

Outcomes

Highest price

Kash Patel 69¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Lee Zeldin

kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LZEL

49¢$1K$1K0.1

Kash Patel

kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT