Vladimir Putin · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC
Vladimir Putin is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 15 inside KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC.
Price history
10¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Vladimir Putin is in Top 5 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Vladimir Putin
Rank
#11 of 15
Leader
Bad Bunny 68¢
Range
2¢-68¢
Family volume
$68
Identifier
KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-VLA
Jun 19, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$57
Family rank
#11 of 15
15 outcomes · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$68
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Vladimir Putin is in Top 5 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-VLA
Event family
KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$68
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Bad Bunny 68¢
Current share
0%
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-BAD
Savannah Guthrie
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-SAV
Nicolás Maduro
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-NICO
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-TAY
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-ELO
Donald Trump
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-DON
Timothée Chalamet
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-TIM
Nick Shirley
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-NIC
Fernando Mendoza
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-FER
Sam Altman
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-SAM
Vladimir Putin
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-VLA
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-BIL
Joe Biden
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-JOE
Kamala Harris
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-KAM
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
kalshi · KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-VOL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.