SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 31, 2026242 days left

Will Nick Shirley be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

This contract is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

15¢
$589 volume
$444 liquidity
701% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$84

Best sibling

Donald Trump 25¢

Ticker

KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-NIC

Price history

15¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 14¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢51K
9¢225
7¢250
3¢252
2¢1.5K
AskSize
14¢5
15¢44
16¢125
18¢250
40¢39

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Nick Shirley is in Top 5 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-NIC

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1525.4%

IY (No)

14.9%

Adj IY

763%

CRI

10

Overround

1.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

1525.4%
14.9%
Adj IY
763%
10
Overround
1.1%

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