SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 31, 2026242 days left

Will Fernando Mendoza be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

8¢
$507 volume
$189 liquidity
219% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$232

Best sibling

Donald Trump 25¢

Ticker

KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-FER

Price history

8¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 13¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
8¢125
7¢194
6¢250
5¢100
2¢244
AskSize
13¢10
14¢5
15¢143
16¢55
17¢250

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Fernando Mendoza is in Top 5 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-FER

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1736.1%

IY (No)

13.1%

Adj IY

326%

CRI

12

Overround

1.2%

LAS

0.63

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1736.1%
13.1%
Adj IY
326%
12
Overround
1.2%
LAS
0.63

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