SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 31, 2026242 days left

Will Taylor Swift be in the Top 5 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$800 volume
$770 liquidity
952% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$84

Best sibling

Donald Trump 25¢

Ticker

KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-TAY

Price history

18¢ current

+7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 17¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢55K
10¢125
9¢250
3¢255
2¢794
AskSize
17¢5
18¢194
19¢269
44¢92
69¢160

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Taylor Swift is in Top 5 search on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXRANKLISTGOOGLESEARCHTOP5-26DEC-TAY

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1357.8%

IY (No)

16.8%

Adj IY

679%

CRI

9

Overround

1.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1357.8%
16.8%
Adj IY
679%
9
Overround
1.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index