Will Xavier Becerra finish 3rd in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
11
Family volume
$106
Best sibling
Eric Swalwell 1¢
Ticker
KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-XBEC
Price history
16¢ current
+14¢Orderbook snapshot
11 / 17¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Xavier Becerra finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-XBEC
Event family
KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$106
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Tom Steyer 25¢
Current share
100%
Xavier Becerra
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-XBEC
Eric Swalwell
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-ESWA
Tom Steyer
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-TSTE
Steve Hilton
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-SHIL
Matt Mahan
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-MMAH
Katie Porter
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-KPOR
Chad Bianco
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-CBIA
Ché Ahn
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-CAHN
Alex Padilla
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-APAD
Antonio Villaraigosa
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-AVIL
Butch Ware
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-BWAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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