Will Omar Cooper Jr. be the 3rd Wide Receiver drafted
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 29% across 11 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
29%
11 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$908
11 contracts
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
944 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
10 clusters across 11 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 8% of their title tokens — “Will Donald” vs “Will Renan Santos finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Donald
Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Donald J. Trump Jr.
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
Will Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?: Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio
KXRTICKET-28NOV07-DTJRMRUB
Cluster 2
Will Renan Santos finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
Cluster 3
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year?: Will Anderson Jr.
KXNFLDPOTY-27-WAND
Cluster 4
Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year
Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year?: Rueben Bain Jr.
KXNFLDROTY-27-RBAI
Cluster 5
Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina
Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina?: Roy Cooper
SENATENC-26-D
Cluster 6
Will Alex Cooper and Alix Earle be seen together in public before Jan 1, 2027
Will Alex Cooper and Alix Earle be seen together in public before Jan 1, 2027?: Yes
KXPERSONPUBLICCULTURE-27JAN01
Cluster 7
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trump Jr.
KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR
Cluster 8
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 9
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?: any 3rd Amendment case
KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN-3RD
Cluster 10
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
Analysis
This market reflects the probability that Omar Cooper Jr. will be selected as the third wide receiver in the 2026 NFL Draft. At 29%, the market suggests he faces meaningful competition from other receiver prospects but remains a realistic candidate for early selection at the position. The probability is primarily driven by evaluations of Cooper's performance metrics, athletic testing results, and how scouts rate him relative to other receivers in the class. The market will move significantly based on NFL Draft Day outcomes and pre-draft evaluation reports from major organizations. The resolution occurs during the 2026 NFL Draft, where the exact order of receiver selections will determine the outcome. Market movement typically reflects updated draft order projections, medical evaluations of competing prospects, and any performance data from pre-draft workouts and measurements.
- ›Cooper's combine performance metrics and athletic testing results relative to other top receiver prospects
- ›Teams' explicit draft board rankings and publicly stated receiver needs in their 2026 draft classes
- ›Medical evaluation outcomes and injury history of competing receiver prospects
- ›Draft order positioning and whether teams with top selections prioritize receiver positions
- ›Pre-draft evaluation reports from major mock drafts and professional scouting services
What moved the line
- Jun 16Yes↓3pp28→25¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 19Yes↑3pp25→28¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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