Will Omar Cooper Jr. be the 3rd Wide Receiver drafted
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 23% across 9 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
23%
9 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$494
9 contracts
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
850 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
9 clusters across 9 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 23% of their title tokens — “Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina” vs “Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina
Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina?: Roy Cooper
SENATENC-26-D
Cluster 2
Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year
Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year?: Rueben Bain Jr.
KXNFLDROTY-27-RBAI
Cluster 3
Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party
Cluster 4
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trump Jr.
KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR
Cluster 5
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year?: Will Anderson Jr.
KXNFLDPOTY-27-WAND
Cluster 6
Will Renan Santos finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
Cluster 7
Will Alex Cooper and Alix Earle be seen together in public before Jan 1, 2027
Will Alex Cooper and Alix Earle be seen together in public before Jan 1, 2027?: Yes
KXPERSONPUBLICCULTURE-27JAN01
Cluster 8
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?: any 3rd Amendment case
KXSCOTUSCERT3RD-29JAN-3RD
Cluster 9
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
Analysis
This market predicts whether Omar Cooper Jr. will be selected as the third wide receiver in the 2026 NFL Draft. At 24%, the probability reflects moderate uncertainty about his draft positioning relative to other receiver prospects. Cooper's draft position depends primarily on how he's ranked against competing receivers by NFL teams—factors like his performance metrics, physical attributes, and draft needs at each pick will determine his actual selection order. The resolution will be settled when the 2026 NFL Draft concludes and the third wide receiver is officially selected. Prior draft history shows receiver rankings often shift during the pre-draft evaluation period as teams finalize their boards.
- ›Cooper's current athletic testing results and performance metrics compared to other elite receiver prospects in the 2026 class
- ›The number and draft position of wide receivers selected before Cooper—determining if exactly two receivers go before him
- ›Trading activity and team needs in the first rounds, as teams may trade up or down affecting receiver selection order
- ›Pre-draft ranking consensus from major scouting services and mock drafts as the April 2026 draft approaches
- ›Injury status or other developments affecting Cooper or competing receivers during the final pre-draft evaluation window
What moved the line
- Sep 18Renan Santos↑27pp23→50¢ · Kalshi
- Sep 17Renan Santos↓13pp36→23¢ · Kalshi
- Sep 19Yes↓13pp16→3¢ · Kalshi
- Sep 17Rueben Bain Jr.↓10pp20→10¢ · Kalshi
- Sep 19Renan Santos↓7pp50→43¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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