Will Zack Mullock be the Democratic nominee for NJ-02?

Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Will Zack Mullock be the Democratic nominee for NJ-02?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2027. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest despite a wide 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in Mullock's nomination prospects.

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20¢mid
Bid/Ask 16/24¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Nov 3, 2027·561d remaining
KXNJPRIMARY-02D26-ZMUL

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest despite a wide 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in Mullock's nomination prospects. The 0¢ price reflects near-zero conviction that he'll secure the Democratic nomination for NJ-02, though the extreme 340.5% implied yield on the Yes side indicates substantial mispricing potential if any meaningful probability exists. With 563 days until the November 2027 close and a neutral regime, this appears to be a speculative, illiquid contract awaiting either candidate emergence or market catalysts to generate trading activity.

Resolution rules

If Zack Mullock wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NJ-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 341.7%
IY (No) 12.4%
Adj IY 85%
CRI 5
LAS 0.50
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)341.7%
IY (No)12.4%
Adj IY85%
CRI5
LAS0.50

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:13:17 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNJPRIMARY-02D26-ZMUL yes 100

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