What is the current probability for "Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 2¢ (2% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2026. 242 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 3619.9% and 6.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiDec 31, 2026242 days left

Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

2¢

$100K volume

$46K liquidity

79% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$126K

Best sibling

Sydney Sweeney 16¢

Ticker

KXMETGALA-ZEN

Price history

2¢ current

−70¢

Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 2¢

Kalshi

0¢ spread

BidSize

100¢1.1K

100¢340

100¢3

2¢14

2¢152

AskSize

2¢12

2¢39

2¢21

2¢544

2¢2

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Zendaya attends The Met Gala 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXMETGALA-ZEN

Event family

KXMETGALA.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$126K

Outcomes

Highest price

Sabrina Carpenter 99¢

Current share

12%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Zendaya

kalshi · KXMETGALA-ZEN

2¢$15K$13K0.5

Sydney Sweeney