Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 83% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 62%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
62¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
21pp
contested
24h volume
$3K
modest
Closes
May 23, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x55017d…afa0
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
0x2a523b…71b8
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xe1dea6…59bc
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x54301d…dc29
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x927ef0…8269
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Henan FC (-1.5)
0x6d21a7…2d06
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x937298…bb5d
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Henan FC (-2.5)
0x232199…045f
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)
0x0f4b91…cb3f
What moved the line
- May 23O/U 4.5↓10pp22→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 23O/U 3.5↓9pp38→29¢ · Polymarket
- May 23Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)↓6pp36→30¢ · Polymarket
- May 22Henan FC (-1.5)↓4pp11→7¢ · Polymarket
- May 22Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)↑3pp33→36¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in china
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FClast 60% · 0d
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2last 73% · 2d
- Volvo China Openyeslast 74% · 2d
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC - More Marketslast 78% · 4d
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FClast 50% · 4d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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