What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call
Leader sits at 87% across 13 bound outcomes, runner-up at 74%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Hyperscaler
Outcomes
13
winner-take-all
Runner-up
74¢
Tomahawk 6
Spread
13pp
contested
24h volume
$133
thin orderbook
Closes
Sep 30, 2026
125 days
Venue
Kalshi
13 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: OpenAI
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-OPENA
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Quantum
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-QUAN
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Optic
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-OPTI
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tomahawk 6
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-TOMA
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Department of War / DoW
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-DEPA
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Organic
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-ORGA
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Open Source
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-OPEN
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: NVLink
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-NVLI
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Meta
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-META
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Hyperscaler
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-HYPE
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Competition
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-COMP
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Anthropic
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-ANTH
What will Broadcom Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Acquisition
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVGO-26JUN03-ACQU
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations that Broadcom's next earnings call will prominently feature discussion of hyperscaler customers and their artificial intelligence infrastructure demands. The 78% probability for hyperscaler focus suggests strong confidence that AI-driven data center spending will dominate management commentary, with runner-up outcomes (OpenAI at 52 cents, Competition at 34 cents) reflecting uncertainty about whether the discussion emphasizes specific AI model providers or competitive pressures instead. The outcome will be determined when Broadcom holds their next scheduled earnings call, likely in late summer 2026, where management typically discusses customer concentration, market trends, and revenue drivers. Market movements reflect that hyperscaler AI demand has been a persistent industry narrative, but the relatively close positioning of multiple outcomes indicates traders recognize material uncertainty about what messaging management will prioritize during the call.
- ›Broadcom's recent quarterly results and forward guidance on data center and AI infrastructure spending levels
- ›The percentage of total revenue or forward guidance attributed to hyperscaler customers versus other segments
- ›Specific mentions of named AI companies or generic references to 'artificial intelligence customers' during the call
- ›Competitive announcements or market share dynamics in networking and semiconductors between now and the earnings date
- ›Management's tone and emphasis distribution across hyperscalers, OpenAI partnerships, quantum computing, and M&A strategy
What moved the line
- May 28Meta↑41pp22→63¢ · Kalshi
- May 28Optic↑6pp13→19¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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