What will Snowflake Inc. say during their next earnings call
Leader sits at 18% across 7 bound outcomes, runner-up at 18%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Iceberg
Outcomes
7
winner-take-all
Runner-up
18¢
Iceberg
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$5K
modest
Closes
Sep 30, 2026
125 days
Venue
Kalshi
7 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will Snowflake Inc. say during their next earnings call
What will Snowflake Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Claude
KXEARNINGSMENTIONSNOW-26MAY27-CLAU
What will Snowflake Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Open Source
KXEARNINGSMENTIONSNOW-26MAY27-OPNS
What will Snowflake Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Competition
KXEARNINGSMENTIONSNOW-26MAY27-COMP
What will Snowflake Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Europe
KXEARNINGSMENTIONSNOW-26MAY27-EURP
What will Snowflake Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Iceberg
KXEARNINGSMENTIONSNOW-26MAY27-ICEB
What will Snowflake Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Accenture
KXEARNINGSMENTIONSNOW-26MAY27-ACCE
What will Snowflake Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Azure
KXEARNINGSMENTIONSNOW-26MAY27-AZUR
Analysis
This market predicts that Snowflake will emphasize share repurchases during their next earnings call, currently priced at 92% likelihood. The high probability reflects market expectations around capital allocation priorities, possibly driven by strong balance sheet conditions or shareholder return strategies announced in recent quarters. The leading probability could shift based on actual financial results reported before the call, any strategic announcements about M&A or reinvestment plans, or changes in market conditions affecting buyback execution. Snowflake's next quarterly earnings call will resolve this outcome when management discusses capital deployment decisions and provides forward guidance.
- ›Snowflake's current cash position and free cash flow generation relative to stated buyback authorization size
- ›Recent quarterly earnings results and whether management has already signaled capital return priorities in prior guidance
- ›Competitive positioning in the data cloud market and whether organic investment needs have increased or decreased
- ›Broader macro conditions affecting technology sector buyback sentiment between now and the earnings date
- ›Historical pattern of Snowflake's earnings call rhetoric—whether management typically emphasizes repurchases or other strategic topics
What moved the line
- May 27Iceberg↓19pp71→52¢ · Kalshi
- May 27Europe↓9pp35→26¢ · Kalshi
- May 27Competition↑4pp17→21¢ · Kalshi
- May 27Accenture↓4pp17→13¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBCDemocratlast 87% · 0d
- TX-18 Democratic Primary Winnerlast 89% · 1d
- TX-33 Democratic Primary Winnerlast 90% · 1d
- Will Trump say "Autism" before Apr 27, 2026last 15% · 3d
- Will Brentford be Relegated from English Premier League in 2025-26 Seasonlast 94% · 3d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.