Fed rate hike in 2026

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39%
20 markets·Kalshi + Polymarket

Kalshi

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47%

13 contracts

Polymarket

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26%

7 contracts

Cross-venue gap21¢

Contracts

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting?: Cut 25bps

K$16K
6¢

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)

P$15K
40¢

Fed rate hike in 2026?

P$12K
14¢

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting?: Fed maintains rate

K$6K
90¢

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 4 (100 bps)

P$5K
11¢

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 2 (50 bps)

P$5K
56¢

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 1 (25 bps)

P$2K
28¢

Will Bank of Canada Hike rates by 25bps at their April 2026 meeting?: Hike 25bps

K$2K
4¢

Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?

K$1K
18¢

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 3 (75 bps)

P$1K
7¢

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?: Fed maintains rate

K$935
66¢

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting?: Above 3.75%

K$863
4¢

Will Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Apr 2026?: Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: >0

K$555
96¢

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting?: Above 3.50%

K$393
90¢

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?: 3.75%

P$309
25¢

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?: Fed maintains rate

K$250
81¢

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?: Fed maintains rate

K$3
70¢

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?: Fed maintains rate

K$0
76¢

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?: Hike 25bps

K$0
4¢

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?: Hike >25bps

K$0
3¢

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