Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 49% across 2 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
49%
2 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$18K
2 contracts
Top contract
57¢
$10K · Kalshi
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 2 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will REBORN win the REBORN vs. Beşiktaş Esports Valorant match
Will REBORN win the REBORN vs. Beşiktaş Esports Valorant match?: REBORN
KXVALORANTGAME-26MAY031030RBNBJK-RBN
Cluster 2
Will Beşiktaş Esports win the REBORN vs. Beşiktaş Esports Valorant match
What moved the line
- May 1REBORN↓9pp61→52¢ · Kalshi
- May 2REBORN↑7pp52→59¢ · Kalshi
- May 1Beşiktaş Esports↓4pp34→30¢ · Kalshi
- May 2Beşiktaş Esports↑4pp30→34¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
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- Pharco FC vs. El Gouna SClast 62% · 0d
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- Molde FK vs. Vålerenga Fotballlast 91% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (49% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 18 min ago.