Will OG Anunoby be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 26% across 13 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
26%
13 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
−2pp
14h ago
24h volume
$139
13 contracts
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
58 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
13 clusters across 13 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Bam Adebayo be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Bam Adebayo be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Bam Adebayo
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-BADE
Cluster 2
Will Derrick White be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 3
Will OG Anunoby be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will OG Anunoby be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: OG Anunoby
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-OANU
Cluster 4
Will Ausar Thompson be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 5
Will Rudy Gobert be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Rudy Gobert be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Rudy Gobert
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-RGOB
Cluster 6
Will Scottie Barnes be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 7
Will Luguentz Dort be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 8
Will Dyson Daniels be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Dyson Daniels be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Dyson Daniels
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-DDAN
Cluster 9
Will Amen Thompson be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 10
Will Draymond Green be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 11
Will Ivica Zubac be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Ivica Zubac be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Ivica Zubac
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-IZUB
Cluster 12
Will Kawhi Leonard be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Kawhi Leonard be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Kawhi Leonard
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-KLEO
Cluster 13
Will Donovan Clingan be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Analysis
This contract reflects a 28% chance that OG Anunoby will earn All-Pro 1st Team Defensive honors for the 2025-26 NBA season. Anunoby's selection probability hinges on two primary factors: his actual defensive performance during the season and the competitive field of elite wing defenders vying for limited spots. The All-Pro voting typically occurs in early April after the regular season concludes, meaning the market is pricing in uncertainty about both Anunoby's consistency over a full season and how voters will compare him to peers like Ausar Thompson (who trades at 96¢) and other top candidates. The resolution will depend entirely on voting results announced following the 2025-26 regular season. Currently, markets suggest Anunoby faces meaningful competition for this honor, with his probability notably lower than emerging candidates like Thompson but higher than some established perimeter defenders.
- ›Anunoby's defensive rating and steal/block statistics relative to other wing defenders throughout the 2025-26 season
- ›The health and availability of competing defensive candidates, particularly younger wings like Ausar Thompson trading much higher in markets
- ›Voter preferences in All-Pro balloting, which can favor players on high-seed teams or those with elevated public profile
- ›Anunoby's overall role and minutes for his team—reserve or reduced roles typically decrease All-Pro chances regardless of efficiency
- ›The final voting results announced by the league, which will definitively resolve this contract based on whether he receives sufficient votes for 1st Team Defensive honors
What moved the line
- Apr 26Scottie Barnes↑29pp40→69¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 28Derrick White↓22pp35→13¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 26Derrick White↑20pp21→41¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 28Scottie Barnes↓18pp71→53¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 29Scottie Barnes↑18pp53→71¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 7 min ago.