Will Amen Thompson be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $376 open interest, making the 14¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 12¢ spread. The astronomical 3005.6% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe mispricing or reflects the genuine difficulty of a young player making All-Defensive 1st Team, though Thompson's defensive potential warrants scrutiny of whether 14% truly captures his odds. The sharp 26% price decline over seven days (19¢ to 14¢) combined with a high Cliff Risk Index of 6 indicates volatility and potential for significant moves as the 75-day expiration approaches, though the thin market makes execution problematic for any meaningful position.

Resolution rules

If Amen Thompson is selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball All-Defensive 1st Team, then the market resolves to Yes.

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