Will Draymond Green be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?

At 4¢, this market prices in an extremely low 4% probability for Draymond Green's All-Defensive 1st Team selection, yet the Yes-side implied yield of 12,123.7% signals severe mispricing or illiquidity concerns. The market shows minimal activity with just $23.42 in 24-hour volume against $167.42 open interest, and the price has declined from 5¢ to 4¢ over seven days, suggesting weak conviction among traders. With 72 days to resolution and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this appears to be a thin, low-liquidity market where the extreme yield reflects the difficulty of exiting positions rather than genuine probability assessment.

Resolution rules

If Draymond Green is selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball All-Defensive 1st Team, then the market resolves to Yes.

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