Will Jermod McCoy be the 1st Defensive Back (Cornerback or Safety) drafted
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 18 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
32%
18 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$15K
18 contracts
Top contract
27¢
$4K · Kalshi
30-day trend
Bracket families
17 clusters across 18 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
What will be the series outcome in the Toronto vs Cleveland 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs
What will be the series outcome in the Toronto vs Cleveland 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?: TOR wins 4-3
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26TORCLER1-TOR43
What will be the series outcome in the Toronto vs Cleveland 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?: CLE wins 4-3
KXNBASERIESSCORE-26TORCLER1-CLE43
Cluster 2
Will Orlando win 4-3 in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs
Cluster 3
Will 151st Kentucky Derby win the 47th Annual Sports Emmy Awards for Outstanding Live Sports Special: Non-Championship Event
Cluster 4
Will Ausar Thompson be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 5
Will Detroit win 4-3 in the Orlando vs Detroit 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs
Cluster 6
Will Bam Adebayo be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Bam Adebayo be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Bam Adebayo
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-BADE
Cluster 7
Will Derrick White be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 8
Will OG Anunoby be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will OG Anunoby be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: OG Anunoby
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-OANU
Cluster 9
Will Scottie Barnes be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 10
Will Rudy Gobert be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Rudy Gobert be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Rudy Gobert
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-RGOB
Cluster 11
Will Amen Thompson be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 12
Will Ivica Zubac be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Ivica Zubac be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Ivica Zubac
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-IZUB
Cluster 13
Will Donovan Clingan be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 14
Will Kawhi Leonard be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Kawhi Leonard be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Kawhi Leonard
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-KLEO
Cluster 15
Will Dyson Daniels be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Will Dyson Daniels be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Dyson Daniels
KXNBA1STTEAMDEF-26-DDAN
Cluster 16
Will Luguentz Dort be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Cluster 17
Will Draymond Green be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
What moved the line
- May 3CLE wins 4-3↑37pp34→71¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 26Scottie Barnes↑29pp40→69¢ · Kalshi
- May 3DET wins 4-3↑22pp51→73¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 28Derrick White↓22pp35→13¢ · Kalshi
- Apr 26Derrick White↑20pp21→41¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.