Hormuz Blockade Massively Underpriced — US Warships Near-Certain

The US escort and warship-through-Hormuz markets sit at 13-14% while model edge implies 90-95% probability — an 80-cent gap. With oil surging +12% today, Iran invasion at 56%, and the US actively escalating pressure on Tehran, the operational reality of US naval presence in the strait is being dramatically discounted. Buy YES on US warships/escorts through Hormuz across both Kalshi and Polymarket for a multi-leg high-conviction trade.