Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing June 2, 2026.

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3¢
Bid/Ask 3/4¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,639.062·OI $18,825.497·Closes Jun 2, 2026·41d remaining
0x088f9a8ae719157e1fd4fb8d91836e91a958c7be80a003d2c9d20b4663c7fd43
7-day price230 snapshots · 22 regime
9¢3¢ current
Apr 80¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 3¢0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 6033.6%Close-time delta 3711h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 28803.5%
IY (No) 27.6%
Adj IY 14402%
CRI 32
Overround -0.0%
LAS 0.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)28803.5%
IY (No)27.6%
Adj IY14402%
CRI32
Overround-0.0%
LAS0.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:51:24 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x088f9a8ae719157e1fd4fb8d91836e91a958c7be80a003d2c9d20b4663c7fd43 yes 100

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