Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Alexander Volkanovski next?
0x095da86894875c7bfce858484da0d0fb3f1334b39bad88e4f908daf806485693 · closes Dec 31, 2026 · 260 days remaining
Price
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 498.5% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 39.7% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 4 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 0.7% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 3687% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 23.79 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 8.7/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 499% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
1135 indicator snapshots · 2 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
About this market
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
How to trade
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Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0x095da86894875c7bfce858484da0d0fb3f1334b39bad88e4f908daf806485693 yes 100