Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Prediction markets currently give a 39% probability that Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. This contract trades at 39¢ on Polymarket, closing November 7, 2028.
Also on kalshi at 37¢(Δ +2¢)
Resolution rules
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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sf trade 0x0a99479228e93524b25676ae69b94bd3f4278a6bca8d8c265c84d24755399cf5 yes 100