Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Polymarket, closing June 2, 2026.

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14¢
Bid/Ask 13/16¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $263.03·OI $17,768.645·Closes Jun 2, 2026·41d remaining
0x0c048cf588a0127e8591f98c08f84dd23685def967bd60338703260c5fb32669
7-day price287 snapshots · 15 regime
60¢14¢ current
Apr 811¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 14¢0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 1145.3%Close-time delta 3711h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4656.6%
IY (No) 168.9%
Adj IY 1892%
CRI 5
LAS 0.19
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4656.6%
IY (No)168.9%
Adj IY1892%
CRI5
LAS0.19

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:32 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0c048cf588a0127e8591f98c08f84dd23685def967bd60338703260c5fb32669 yes 100

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