Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 21% probability that Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?. This contract trades at 21¢ on Polymarket, closing May 19, 2026.

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21¢
Bid/Ask 12/29¢·Spread 17¢·Vol $0·OI $2,649.353·Closes May 19, 2026·27d remaining
0x0ccf6c80be73780c0a35aafa4fc27afb3f4c85ab38291a5ae2249d59dedb1426
7-day price631 snapshots · 3 regime
30¢21¢ current
Apr 812¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5057.3%
IY (No) 357.4%
Adj IY 2529%
CRI 4
Overround 0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)5057.3%
IY (No)357.4%
Adj IY2529%
CRI4
Overround0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
17¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:25:58 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0ccf6c80be73780c0a35aafa4fc27afb3f4c85ab38291a5ae2249d59dedb1426 yes 100

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