Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?

Prediction markets currently give a 13% probability that Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?. This contract trades at 13¢ on Polymarket, closing November 3, 2026.

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13¢
Bid/Ask 12/13¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $30,028.198·Closes Nov 3, 2026·195d remaining
0x0cf24055e3630528a1d4f50303d8481cacc8c30df71d142c4a5d3841c528f3af
7-day price26 snapshots · 3 regime
13¢13¢ current
Apr 1112¢Apr 12

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1251.7%
IY (No) 27.9%
Adj IY 626%
CRI 7
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1251.7%
IY (No)27.9%
Adj IY626%
CRI7

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:39 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0cf24055e3630528a1d4f50303d8481cacc8c30df71d142c4a5d3841c528f3af yes 100

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