Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing January 25, 2027. The Buccaneers' NFC Championship contract is trading at an extremely depressed 4¢ with zero 24-hour volume despite $30k open interest, suggesting this is a stale or illiquid position with a massive 3¢ spread.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 3/5¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $33,910.22·Closes Jan 25, 2027·278d remaining
0x0d6642ddd35287eb369945b9c2b00000b7526d341e3dfe6db11b92bdd02a04c5
7-day price21 snapshots · 5 regime
5¢4¢ current
Apr 103¢Apr 17

Analysis

5d ago

The Buccaneers' NFC Championship contract is trading at an extremely depressed 4¢ with zero 24-hour volume despite $30k open interest, suggesting this is a stale or illiquid position with a massive 3¢ spread. The 3,088% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of deep illiquidity rather than genuine opportunity—the market is essentially non-functional for trading. With 284 days until expiration and a neutral regime score, this appears to be a dead market that should be avoided until meaningful volume returns.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3151.4%
IY (No) 5.5%
Adj IY 1576%
CRI 24
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3151.4%
IY (No)5.5%
Adj IY1576%
CRI24
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:51:18 AM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0d6642ddd35287eb369945b9c2b00000b7526d341e3dfe6db11b92bdd02a04c5 yes 100

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