Will Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 1/9¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $15,697.157·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
0x17e3a56b12b4bffe3d1eaf5e08d2ee65f3e766cac6db29f0bf4c82a444bb57de
7-day price18 snapshots · 2 regime
6¢5¢ current
Apr 114¢Apr 14

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 10028.8%
IY (No) 27.8%
Adj IY 5014%
CRI 19
Overround 1.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)10028.8%
IY (No)27.8%
Adj IY5014%
CRI19
Overround1.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:26:22 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x17e3a56b12b4bffe3d1eaf5e08d2ee65f3e766cac6db29f0bf4c82a444bb57de yes 100

Related concepts

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