EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
3¢
Bid/Ask 3/4¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $26,992.326·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x1fa4c5e080e59674d14625faa0360cc7716c92fc063cfdb8506af2dd5af469ab
7-day price24 snapshots · 89 regime
4¢3¢ current
Apr 93¢Apr 20

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.6%
IY (No) 4.5%
Adj IY 2330%
CRI 32
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4660.6%
IY (No)4.5%
Adj IY2330%
CRI32

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 6:42:34 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 6:38:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x1fa4c5e080e59674d14625faa0360cc7716c92fc063cfdb8506af2dd5af469ab yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions