Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 91% probability that Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?. This contract trades at 91¢ on Polymarket.

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91¢
Bid/Ask 90/91¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,269.357·OI $21,756.032·195d remaining
0x22e986868fae24a9e7b6fff86e063cc90843c85c4a9dd65b2628bbf5663997c7
7-day price50 snapshots · 12 regime
93¢91¢ current
Apr 1190¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 18.5%
IY (No) 1891.1%
Adj IY 935%
CRI 10
LAS 0.01
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)18.5%
IY (No)1891.1%
Adj IY935%
CRI10
LAS0.01

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.477
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:33 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x22e986868fae24a9e7b6fff86e063cc90843c85c4a9dd65b2628bbf5663997c7 yes 100

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