Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Polymarket, closing January 25, 2027. The Lions' NFC Championship odds have compressed from 7¢ to 5¢ over the past week, reflecting either deteriorating playoff expectations or natural market repricing as we move closer to the 2027 season.
Analysis
The Lions' NFC Championship odds have compressed from 7¢ to 5¢ over the past week, reflecting either deteriorating playoff expectations or natural market repricing as we move closer to the 2027 season. The extreme 2444.6% implied yield on the Yes side is mathematically consistent with the 5¢ price but masks severe illiquidity—zero 24-hour volume and a 7¢ spread indicate this market lacks meaningful price discovery. With $33.4M in open interest and 284 days to expiration, this contract carries elevated cliff risk (19/100), suggesting significant repricing potential once the 2027 NFL season unfolds and playoff probabilities become clearer.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade
sf trade 0x24ab2403cb580e7086cd3a387ff03a275146da35c4d7aec27a1aeb4a1b38d794 yes 100